Sector Briefs

Oil Firms Push to Scrap UK Windfall Tax

By Balqis Osman October 12, 2026
Oil Firms Push to Scrap UK Windfall Tax - uk windfall tax
Offshore Energies UK (OEUK) has published a study indicating the sector’s financial outlook under current tax policies.

North Sea oil firms are pressing Prime Minister Andy Burnham to eliminate the existing windfall tax, contending that the charge is discouraging capital spending and damaging the broader economy. Since assuming office, the Labour government has levied steep duties on oil and gas operators in the United Kingdom’s North Sea and has placed limits on the initiation of fresh fossil-fuel ventures. Offshore Energies UK (OEUK), the sector’s trade association, has published a study indicating that the country could satisfy roughly fifty percent of its own oil and gas consumption if state support for the industry were increased. The analysis also notes that, under current trends, home-grown output will meet only about one-third of national demand through 2050.

Industry calls for tax reform and new drilling

The OEUK paper stresses the necessity of revising the present Energy Profits Levy (EPL), which is slated to run until 2030. The association has endorsed the contentious Rosebank and Jackdaw schemes—projects that face legal challenges in Scottish courts over environmental concerns—in order to unlock a portfolio of 111 initiatives and draw £50 billion of investment. Rather than retaining the EPL, the sector proposes a new Oil and Gas Revenue Levy (OGRL) that would activate only when commodity prices surge. To date, the windfall tax has generated roughly £12 billion.

Simone Rossi, chief executive of EDF Energy, which supplies about twenty percent of the United Kingdom’s low-carbon electricity, has expressed strong backing for expanded North Sea output. Rossi described fresh oil and gas developments as a “no-brainer” that presents “no contradiction” to the net-zero pathway. Rossi added that it will take decades to wean the economy off this reliance, so in the interim the government should exploit the resources at hand rather than depend on distant imports.

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Financial and environmental debate

Research commissioned by the NGO Global Witness calculated that, should oil prices stay near $100 a barrel, the OGRL would collect £8.6 billion less than the current windfall tax by 2030. Conversely, if prices fell to $70 a barrel, the OGRL would generate no revenue, whereas the EPL could still raise about £4.6 billion. Luke Hatton of Imperial College London, who examined the economic implications of Rosebank and Jackdaw, explained that the projected figures indicate a substantial erosion of economic value beyond any gains the projects might deliver for the United Kingdom. Hatton added that the alternative would be to “really double down on clean energy technologies.”

Prime Minister Andy Burnham has not yet ruled on the Rosebank and Jackdaw proposals, which are owned by the Equinor-Shell joint venture Adura. During the Makerfield by-election in June, Burnham described himself as “open-minded” regarding new North Sea oil licences. More recently, he pledged to adopt a “pragmatic approach” to the basin. A recent assessment suggests that approving the two projects would not curb United Kingdom energy bills or bolster security of supply, with the anticipated benefits outweighed by long-term economic drawbacks.

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